Close

Page 1 of 57 1231151 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 25 of 1403
  1. #1
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace

    Death Riding Civilization: The RZ Coronavirus Thread

    #theguru absolutely prophetic, this is all just media hysteria

    Another big jump in cases reported outside China, 504 yesterday




    *@embers FYI the apprx. 3k reported cases outside China is the same number reported on the Johns Hopkins site https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  2. #2
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Still in the who cares corner

    Can you organise the exact same graph for measles please?

    Last year it was about 11 000 cases and 400 deaths per day

  3. #3
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    Still in the who cares corner

    Can you organise the exact same graph for measles please?

    Last year it was about 11 000 cases and 400 deaths per day
    We have a vaccine for measles
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  4. #4
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Perth
    Teams
    Toasters
    Posts
    12,004
    Rep Level
    26200
    Rep Power
    748
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    We have a vaccine for measles
    Look up the R0 rating of measles v corona virus tho

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  5. #5
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by yeah_nah View Post
    Look up the R0 rating of measles v corona virus tho

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Or you could link me to it you scrub
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  6. #6
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Perth
    Teams
    Toasters
    Posts
    12,004
    Rep Level
    26200
    Rep Power
    748
    Not looking at a link it's just general knowledge ya mutt

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  7. #7
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by yeah_nah View Post
    Not looking at a link it's just general knowledge ya mutt

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Seems like r0 is based on an unimunised population so not a relevant comparison
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  8. #8
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Perth
    Teams
    Toasters
    Posts
    12,004
    Rep Level
    26200
    Rep Power
    748
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    Seems like r0 is based on an unimunised population so not a relevant comparison
    Not really, r0 rating will dictate prioritisation of vaccines so makes sense that a vaccine exists for something with a high rating.

    As embers said I think there's a lot less cause for concern v an airborne epidemic like let's say super power bat measles

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  9. #9
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by yeah_nah View Post
    Not really, r0 rating will dictate prioritisation of vaccines so makes sense that a vaccine exists for something with a high rating.

    As embers said I think there's a lot less cause for concern v an airborne epidemic like let's say super power bat measles

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    An r0 of 4 and an intensive care rate of 10% is going to kill a lot of people. A lot of the newest cases are reported to have come from Milan which means it's only a matter of time before it debilitates European economies and tears the 3rd world a new one.
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  10. #10
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    An r0 of 4 and an intensive care rate of 10% is going to kill a lot of people. A lot of the newest cases are reported to have come from Milan which means it's only a matter of time before it debilitates European economies and tears the 3rd world a new one.
    Based on this rational, we will never reduce its strength via a treatment plan ever. In reality one will come to in say 6 weeks time if we are being generous and expanding times for extra trials if the first lot don't go anywhere

    2.4% will come 0.24% very quickly

  11. #11
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Sorry the ICU rate is much lower than that.

    Hospitalisation rate is 14%, and of that 5% (or 0.7% of all infected) will require ICU treatment.

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/a...26-p544fi.html

    I still maintain that at least economically this is a big fucking deal and it's certainly going to kill millions once it's got a foothold in the 3rd world.

    Furthermore on a more personal level I'm worried that my pregnant wife and my unborn son are immunocompromised and are at much higher risk of fatality in the event they are exposed. Plus I'm not exactly excited at the prospect of my wife being in hospital (albeit a private one, thank fuck) during the outbreak of a global pandemic.
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  12. #12
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    Sorry the ICU rate is much lower than that.

    Hospitalisation rate is 14%, and of that 5% (or 0.7% of all infected) will require ICU treatment.

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/a...26-p544fi.html

    I still maintain that at least economically this is a big fucking deal and it's certainly going to kill millions once it's got a foothold in the 3rd world.

    Furthermore on a more personal level I'm worried that my pregnant wife and my unborn son are immunocompromised and are at much higher risk of fatality in the event they are exposed. Plus I'm not exactly excited at the prospect of my wife being in hospital (albeit a private one, thank fuck) during the outbreak of a global pandemic.

    It has a foothold in the country with 12% of the worlds population and has killed a few thousand....

    If it kills millions, let's say 10 million people, then it needs to infect roughly 500 million people

    Of course you are assuming we never treat it ever. If we do treat it I'd say to kill 10 million the we need about 2 billion people to get it at a minimum I'd say

  13. #13
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    It has a foothold in the country with 12% of the worlds population and has killed a few thousand....

    If it kills millions, let's say 10 million people, then it needs to infect roughly 500 million people

    Of course you are assuming we never treat it ever. If we do treat it I'd say to kill 10 million the we need about 2 billion people to get it at a minimum I'd say
    brb believing the Chinese fatality figures
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  14. #14
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Perth
    Teams
    Toasters
    Posts
    12,004
    Rep Level
    26200
    Rep Power
    748
    Economically I agree but a big part of that is China shitting themselves, doubt Europe do that

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  15. #15
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    brb believing the Chinese fatality figures
    You are the one quoting them daily. Either you believe it and it's relevant or it isn't

    Chinese figures are much worse then South Koreas. Koreas fatality rate is at about 1%. So I'd assume they are the ones that are lieing?

    And if everyone's lieing why are we quoting it all the time

  16. #16
    Veteran Narkee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Teams
    New Orleans Saints, Geelong, Liverpool, OKC
    Posts
    4,208
    Rep Level
    7995
    Rep Power
    253
    New Orleans Saints Geelong Cats Liverpool

    Death Riding Civilization: The RZ Coronavirus Thread

    Interestingly, caught an Uber this morning and the driver was Chinese (quietly shitting myself lol).

    He said a couple of things which were interesting.

    He picked up a passenger who fishes lobsters for a living and most of his catches go to China and this has all been stopped. Was concerned he might go out of business. Shows how far the outreach of implications are.

    Secondly,he was saying his family lives in China and are located some 200kms from Wuhan and city is in lockdown. Can’t leave your house. You have to order groceries etc and it gets delivered to you.

    It’s fucked, but I think the media / reaction to it is ridiculous. I hate the fucking media.

  17. #17
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    You are the one quoting them daily. Either you believe it and it's relevant or it isn't

    Chinese figures are much worse then South Koreas. Koreas fatality rate is at about 1%. So I'd assume they are the ones that are lieing?

    And if everyone's lieing why are we quoting it all the time
    Fucking retard, I'm quoting the outside China figures. Are you even literate?
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  18. #18
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    Fucking retard, I'm quoting the outside China figures. Are you even literate?
    You counted Chinese figures in your fatality rate post. If you take China out fatality rate is about 1%

  19. #19
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by Narkee View Post
    Interestingly, caught an Uber this morning and the driver was Chinese (quietly shitting myself lol).

    He said a couple of things which were interesting.

    He picked up a passenger who fishes lobsters for a living and most of his catches go to China and this has all been stopped. Was concerned he might go out of business. Shows how far the outreach of implications are.

    Secondly,he was saying his family lives in China and are located some 200kms from Wuhan and city is in lockdown. Can’t leave your house. You have to order groceries etc and it gets delivered to you.

    It’s fucked, but I think the media / reaction to it is ridiculous. I hate the fucking media.
    The Wests agenda to kill the Chinese economy shouldn't be that surprising though should it?

  20. #20
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    You counted Chinese figures in your fatality rate post. If you take China out fatality rate is about 1%
    I have not "counted" a "fatality rate" once, seriously are you literate?
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  21. #21
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    I have not "counted" a "fatality rate" once, seriously are you literate?
    Your predictions of 10% ICU rate come from where exactly?

  22. #22
    übermensch showdownhero's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Melbourne
    Teams
    Adelaide, Crystal Palace
    Posts
    11,425
    Rep Level
    20807
    Rep Power
    671
    Adelaide Crows Crystal Palace
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    Your predictions of 10% ICU rate come from where exactly?
    ICU rate ≠ fatality rate
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    You are the one quoting them daily. Either you believe it and it's relevant or it isn't

    Chinese figures are much worse then South Koreas. Koreas fatality rate is at about 1%. So I'd assume they are the ones that are lieing?

    And if everyone's lieing why are we quoting it all the time
    Plus I see we've walked back the "quoting them daily" claim, just admit you're an illiterate buffoon and gagf
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    there’s a couple of clusters of illness in Mt Baker and Gawler where they’ve been tested but their results aren’t back yet. These individuals have all recently returned from various hot spots overseas and are almost guaranteed to returned positive results. Could be a spike in SA numbers in the next few days.

  23. #23
    the implication. fender's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    London
    Teams
    Joey Barton, Haynesus
    Posts
    4,576
    Rep Level
    10410
    Rep Power
    293
    Newcastle United Parramatta New York Knicks

    Death Riding Civilization: The RZ Coronavirus Thread

    What exactly is the treatment plan for a Coronavirus? We still don’t have one for the cold apart from rest nor a vaccine for SARS from two decades ago why is one for this locked in?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Last edited by fender; 26th February 2020 at 10:24 PM.
    Picture Phife losing a battle, come on, get off it
    Put down the microphone son, surrender, forfeit

  24. #24
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Perth
    Teams
    Toasters
    Posts
    12,004
    Rep Level
    26200
    Rep Power
    748
    Quote Originally Posted by fender View Post
    What exactly is the treatment plan for a Coronavirus? We still don’t have one for the cold apart from rest nor a vaccine for SARS from two decades ago why is one for this locked in?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    People get hospitalised for the flu though. It would be the same except people who are low risk of dying would be kept as precaution or observation purposes.

    Also artificially inflates the hospitalisation rates showdownhero so your stats aren't really reliable. Even comparison to SARS would be skewed given corona virus is only in early stages. Would need to compare to Sars at the same stage (which would be significantly higher than where it finished)

    Sent from my SM-G955F using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  25. #25
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    17,272
    Rep Level
    15981
    Rep Power
    855
    Quote Originally Posted by showdownhero View Post
    ICU rate ≠ fatality rate

    Don't think anyone but you believes that but okay

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •