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Thread: Gambling thread

  1. #851
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    What was the exact oppsoite paying?
    They didn't have opposing markets for it as it was their "tweet a bet markets".

    Was so confident on the Merrett Daniher, Fyfe one too

    Also thought Norf and maybe Bont were the only risk in the other market. Didn't expect North to have started this well. Thought it may come down to % or something...

  2. #852
    Elite LC's Avatar
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    Had a ridiculous day on Grand Final day.

    Got a phone call from Neds offering $100 in free bets for $20 deposit, "but given your previous deposits might have to speak to a TL to get you a better deal" (haven't really punted since kids). I'm trying to keep him talking to see if I've even got $20 in my bank account.

    "Yep, put me down for twenty nine fifty"

    "You sure you don't want to round that up to an even 3k?"

    "No, mate, $29.50"

    "....."

    Clearly commission based sales call centre guy is gutted, and begrudgingly dumps two free bets into my account for $50 each. Chucked them on LeCras first goal kicker and Trav Varcoe first goal kicker.

    $1000 up. Free bet, have to turn it over. Had a 7 day trial of Tom Waterhouse's tips. Was still getting the emails a fortnight later. Put 85% onto his best bet of the day at Mornington. Never won there in my life. Awful track. Salutes. Now up to $1800.

    HT in the footy, $100 each on Pendlebury, Langdon and Shuey ($7) for the Norm Smith, and $300 on the Eagles at $2.90.

    Turned my last $20 into 3k.

  3. #853
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    Awesome. And you took it off Neds so even better

  4. #854
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    Adelaide Power Los Angeles Lakers

  5. #855
    Veteran BobbyMorri's Avatar
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    Sydney Swans <<Football>>>
    I put [email protected]$20 on Hartnell at Randwick......$750. I was just happy with that. Damn LC

    I hate the new Beteasy as well. Limiting my wagers for their promos. Crownbet never did that, but WH did. grrrr......

    Oh well, suckers to them. my $5 bets on these have all lost
    Scunthorpe

  6. #856
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    Lol. I'm the opposite. Was crushed by William Hill (after the 2016 incident) and fine with BetEasy. Although I regularly notice that in lieu of offering points/cash back as per the app, if I click on more info it offers bonus bets instead.

  7. #857
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    Also the balls on LC who was down to his last $20 an hour earlier then puts $800+ on a horse

  8. #858
    Elite LC's Avatar
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    Carolina Panthers Los Angeles Lakers Sydney Roosters
    Thanks for joining the Friday's Five Best Package. Please see the tips, stakes and race commentary below.

    Included are two bonus value bets for Moonee Valley tonight, denoted with an *.

    If you'd also like my Five Best Bets tomorrow, join my Silver Package here.

    Note: If you're having trouble reading the tips on your mobile, tilt your screen to landscape view.


    Port Macquarie
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    16:05 R6 5 Je Suis Tycoon 4.0 units Win
    Should handle the soft conditions and be flying home.

    Kyneton
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    16:00 R8 5 All Too Sublime 3.0 units Win
    Should be able to lead in what looks a slowly run race.

    Canberra
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    14:25 R3 10 Upper House 4.0 units Win
    Trainer going well.

    Ipswich
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    15:12 R4 4 Fanx 4.0 units Win
    Should be able to cross from the barrier.

    Moonee Valley
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    18:30 R1 7 Virtual Insanity 5.0 units Win
    Should be able to lead from the barrier.
    19:30 R3* 6 Just Rolling 1.0 units Win
    Should be flying home.
    20:30 R5 9 Morrissy 12.0 units Win
    If it can get across with ease it should be very hard to beat.
    21:30 R7* 5 Spider 1.5 units Win
    Value in a tough race.

  9. #859
    Elite LC's Avatar
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    Please see my tips, stakes and race comments below. To join my exclusive WhatsApp group and get real-time updates and the late mail, upgrade to the Emerald Package.

    Note: If you're having trouble reading the tips on your mobile, tilt your screen to landscape view.

    Randwick
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    12:30 R1 1 Head On 1.0 units Win
    12:30 R1 8 Deviate 0.2 units Win
    Value with the race form.
    13:05 R2 6 My Blue Jeans 0.5 units Win
    13:05 R2 9 Velaro 2.0 units Win
    13:05 R2 11 Tristan De Angel 1.2 units Win
    Value in a tough race.
    15:30 R6 5 Pierata 3.0 units Win
    Should be able to slot in from the barrier.
    16:15 R7 3 Le Romain 0.5 units Win
    Value in a race with many chances.
    16:50 R8 3 It's Somewhat 3.0 units Win
    16:50 R8 12 Egg Tart 4.0 units Win
    These two look like they will fight out the race.
    17:35 R9 3 Auvray 3.0 units Win
    Should get a lovely run in the race.
    18:10 R10 1 Bryan 2.0 units Win
    Trainer going very well.

    Caulfield
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    12:10 R1 2 Lanigera 3.0 units Win
    12:10 R1 10 Mockery 1.0 units Win
    Value in a tough race.
    12:45 R2 5 Violate 1.5 units Win
    Should be flying home.
    15:45 R7 2 Jungle Cat 1.0 units Win
    15:45 R7 9 Lite'n In My Veins 0.3 units Win
    15:45 R7 19 Fierce Impact 0.3 units Win
    Value in a tough race.
    16:35 R8 5 The Cliffsofmoher 0.5 units Win
    Big odds in a tough race.
    17:50 R10 3 Dal Harraild 1.0 units Win
    17:50 R10 13 Sin To Win 0.3 units Win
    Big odds and should be fighting out the finish.

    Doomben
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:12 R1 1 Above The Sky 1.0 units Win
    Value with the race form.
    15:01 R4 6 Dream Kisses 9.0 units Win
    Should lead with what looks a slow pace.
    15:37 R5 8 Arena Salon 1.0 units Win
    Should get a lovely run just off the leaders.
    16:27 R6 2 Big Arjay 1.5 units Win
    Trainer and jockey on fire.
    17:06 R7 6 Straight Home 1.0 units Win
    Should improve second up.
    17:42 R8 7 Scorcha 4.0 units Win
    Should handle the wet and be hard to beat.
    18:25 R9 11 Stella Victoria 7.0 units Win
    Think the bookies will bet against this - would be odds on with a dry track.

    Morphettville
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    14:41 R3 7 Box On Collins 3.0 units Win
    Should have improved off the spell.
    16:00 R5 18 Husslin Humph 1.5 units Win
    Should be able to slot in with the fast pace.
    16:46 R6 11 Debt Collector 12.0 units Win
    Best Bet: If it gets across from the barrier, should be very hard to beat.
    18:01 R8 15 Kissing Game 1.5 units Win
    Should be flying home.

    Bunbury
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    16:19 R1 1 Vagabond Boy 1.5 units Win
    Race fit.
    20:35 R8 10 Sigil 2.0 units Win
    20:35 R8 11 Distant Trilogy 3.0 units Win
    Value to beat the favourite.

  10. #860
    Elite LC's Avatar
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    Victorian state election odds came out today (TAB and Sportsbet). Certain that they haven't used their usual subcontractors who are usually professional pollsters. Too many mistakes in the options offered.

    Minority government to be formed: $1.90 YES. Huge overs. I'd say it's closer to $1.40.
    Burwood: Labor $3.50. Graham Watt has done very little in his two terms, and a similar swing from last election will see him gone. His own party are campaigning against him privately, and enough influential people to ensure he won't have feet on the ground handing out cards. I'd say Labor closer to $2.20 here.
    Bayswater:: If you could multi these things, Heidi Victoria at $1.11 is handy. Not sure if the TAB allow it?
    Brunswick: Too early to call, and they've fucked up by not including Catherine Deveny as a candidate. Wait and see where preferences flow from her and AJP, but Greens at $1.77 is probably $1.40
    Cranbourne: 30% increase in voters since the last election, and the majority of them are the same Sudanese that have had the shit kicked out of them by the Libs for 4 years? $1.60 is ridiculous. It's a lock.
    Albert Park: $16 for the Greens is huge. I'd say closer to $5s. 7% of the primary vote vacated by Tex Perkins and James Kearney probably flows a lot to them. About 2000 votes from knocking off Foley for 2nd place. I'd definitely speculate there with a loose tenner.
    Carrum: Difficult call. Labor at $1.86, Sonya Kilkenny is lovely and a great candidate, far too qualified to deal with these plebs. But these plebs are pissed about Skyrail, so they'll vote that pig Donna Bauer in. $1.95 for the Libs is good value.
    Bentleigh:: $1.85 for Labor is surprising. They've put a heap of money into the area and its not as Skyrail effected. $1.50 is closer to reality.
    Frankston:: I'd like to think the $1.90 for Labor and Edbrooke is a sure thing, but if anything it's closer than that. Bees dick difference as usual.
    Melbourne: Jennifer Kanis is an unlikeable cunt and somehow still got another crack at it. Greens $1.36 is money in the bank.
    Ripon: Libs managed to gain this seat last time by a bare minimum margin despite redistribution predictions expecting a safe Lib gain. Staley is not great. Labor at $2.70 should be $1.80
    Prahran: I'd take the gamble on Greens at $2.25 and Labor at $4. Whoever finishes higher will have the better numbers than the Lib. Neil Pharaoh has campaigned hard and I reckon he's value at $4 in that context. Clem Newton Brown was a great Lib candidate, progressive, visible and had the incumbency benefit. New woman is hopeless and private school mum overstepping the mark from a PTA meeting.
    Richmond: Greens at $2.80 isn't bad considering how close it was last time, and probable swing away from the major parties. hard to predict how people vote over the safe injecting room issue. I think Greens are closer to $1.90
    Mornington: Labor candidate died after nominations closed. Greens not running a candidate. Liberal MP is a stuck up cunt. Two horse race between him and Animal Justice Party. Market is down after I pointed out that they're taking bets on a dead man. Hoping like hell Animal Justice Party gets odds of about $100. Be the ultimate protest vote.
    Last edited by LC; 14th October 2018 at 08:36 PM.

  11. #861
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    Your Mornington one is back up. Liberal 1.01, Labor 12, Greens 41.

    So basically no other candidate atm. What price was Liberal before you pointed out this fact @LC

  12. #862
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    Was always $1.01 (Liberal held seat for past 30 years).

    Actually - correction, Greens do have a candidate upon googling it. No mention of them on party website, no social media presence just an afterthought mention in a local newspaper article. Amateur hour.

    Still haven't added AJP and removed the dead Labor guy.

    I withdraw that one. If it was a two horse race, I reckon they'd be concerned.

  13. #863
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    Please see my tips, stakes and race comments below. To join my exclusive WhatsApp group and get real-time updates and the late mail, upgrade to the Emerald Package.

    Note: If you're having trouble reading the tips on your mobile, tilt your screen to landscape view.

    Randwick
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:05 R2 1 Quackerjack 2.5 units Win
    Should be able to lead with the slow pace.
    13:40 R3 15 Handle The Truth 4.0 units Win
    Should be able to slot in from the barrier.
    14:15 R4 3 Invictus Prince 6.0 units Win
    Silver Package Bet: Should be able to get a nice sit behind the leaders.
    12:50 R5 8 Arraignment 1.5 units Win
    Should be able to lead in what looks a slow tempo race.

    Caulfield
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:25 R3 7 She Knows 1.5 units Win
    Should be flying home late.
    14:00 R4 12 Working From Home 0.4 units Win
    A chance at big odds.
    14:35 R5 8 Yulong Meteor 0.8 units Win
    Value in a very tough race.
    16:40 R8 2 The Cliffsofmoher 4.0 units Win
    16:40 R8 6 Ace High 1.5 units Win
    16:40 R8 13 Homesman 0.8 units Win
    What I see as value in the Cup.
    17:15 R9 4 Invincible Gem 3.0 units Win
    Should get a lovely trail mid-field.

    Doomben
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:48 R3 6 Umberto 3.5 units Win
    Should get a lovely sit behind the leader.
    14:23 R4 5 Masterati 1.5 units Win
    If the race is run at an even tempo, it should be hard to beat.
    15:38 R6 11 Galtero 6.0 units Win
    Silver Package Bet: Improving type.
    16:22 R7 3 Bold Chance 1.2 units Win
    16:22 R7 9 Desert Man 0.2 units Win
    Value in a tough race.
    17:03 R8 17 Prince Of Tie 0.3 units Win
    Value at big odds.
    17:42 R9 13 Conquermore 0.5 units Win
    Should get a nice sit behind the leaders.

    Morphettville
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:00 R1 1 Sebrakate 5.0 units Win
    Race form here is good enough to win.
    14:45 R4 6 Tropical Lightning 5.0 units Win
    Silver Package Bet: Should lead with a slow tempo.
    15:25 R5 4 Aagas 5.0 units Win
    Value at the price of the favourites.
    16:05 R6 3 Wrecking Crew 5.0 units Win
    Yesterday's Early Odds Boost tip.
    16:50 R7 8 Fleeting Feeling 8.0 units Win
    Silver Package Bet: Should lead with a slow tempo.
    18:05 R9 11 Valley Of Light 5.0 units Win
    Trainer and jockey both going very well.

    Ascot
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    15:42 R1 5 Tinsnip 3.0 units Win
    Has the race experience.
    20:17 R8 4 Bold Success 8.0 units Win
    BEST BET: Pyke should be flying home on the last.

  14. #864
    Veteran yeah_nah's Avatar
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    How'd these tips go last week LC?

    Sent from my Moto G (5S) using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    I then started saving extra money as a result of eating dumpster food.

    I knew when to hit the dumpster for optimum catch.
    Quote Originally Posted by Eagle E View Post
    accualy scared of getting knocked out by yenny
    #broughtback

  15. #865
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    Disgracefully bad. Think I ended up about a grand down. 2 winners from about 20 or something.

    About $500 up today so far.

  16. #866
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
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    Top Stryker

    You will win one day my friend
    I JUST DELETED YOUR ASS!!!

  17. #867
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    Adelaide Power Los Angeles Lakers
    Had a 5 dollar multi on the lakers game that would've paid me 70 bucks.

    Houston to win - ye
    Total points >238.5 - was 239
    Tucker to hit >1.5 treys - hit 2
    Harden to score >28.5 - had 36
    Ingram to get >4.5 rebounds - poof was on 4 but got ejected almost as soon as he came into the game in the 4th

    I know it wasn't a massive bet like some of you guys but god damn

  18. #868
    One betting disc please Gamblor's Avatar
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    Hate betting on rebounds in same game multis unless it's a rebounding beast like a Drummond, Jordan etc.

    I regularly follow Portland games and do the same multi.
    - Lillard points overs (today's o27.5 scored 29)
    - Lillard total 3s over (o2.5 hit 3)
    - Portland winning margin 1-10 (won by 13, mutt spurs missed a 3 with 3 seconds left).

    Paying 6.75 today.

    Other day Lillard fell a 3 short...

  19. #869
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gamblor View Post
    Hate betting on rebounds in same game multis unless it's
    TD overs motherfucker


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Quote Originally Posted by Embers View Post
    Im the hero football needs and deserves you will find

  20. #870
    One betting disc please Gamblor's Avatar
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    WCE Toast Chelsea
    The glory days of prop betting.

    TD overs for life.

  21. #871
    Veteran Fools Gold's Avatar
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    Adelaide Crows Everton NULL
    I watched his Caufield tips LC but faded most of them with other tips, he did pretty poor there. Yulong Meteor was super close though
    We demand an investigation into the replacement of referee Rafshan Irmatov and his departure at a difficult time in such an important match. We ask for an examination of the grassland that was not suitable for the Syrian team, while Australian players seem to be wearing shoes that cling to the long grass, so we saw Syrian players fall during the game, while Australia's players are steady.

  22. #872
    Elite LC's Avatar
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    He had about 10 run second on Saturday.

    I backed the one at $19 e/w which helped break even. Otherwise, I've cancelled it. Almost certain I won't get a free month as advertised.

  23. #873
    Vale Nollsy Embers's Avatar
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    My dad used to sign up for shit like that. Told for 2 months for him to write some tips out along the same lines and see how he goes. Beat the guy 6 times out of 8.

    Doubt that guy is any different to you or me punting wise given the absurd reasoning he puts into some of his bets. "Should cross" is a bunch of hoolah.
    I JUST DELETED YOUR ASS!!!

  24. #874
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    They sent me this although I cancelled? Posting purely for research/fuck Tom Waterhouse purposes

    Warwick Farm
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    14:00 R1 7 Virtual Insanity 18.0 units Win
    Looks the likely leader.
    14:35 R2 2 Georgia Hit 1.0 units Win
    14:35 R2 8 Sunsuzie 3.0 units Win
    Both have race fitness.
    17:10 R6 2 Dylan's Deeva 2.0 units Win
    Should be able to cross from the barrier.
    17:50 R7 11 Gentleman Max 0.3 units Win
    Value in what looks a very tough race.

    Geelong
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:00 R2 4 Hunboshi 1.0 units Win
    Should be flying home.
    14:45 R5 8 Satori 4.0 units Win
    Should get the lovely sit behind the leader.
    15:20 R6 5 Ligulate 4.0 units Win
    Should get a lovely trail with the speed.
    16:00 R7 7 Midterm 3.0 units Win
    Value in a tough Cup.
    16:40 R8 3 Moonlover 1.5 units Win
    16:40 R8 5 Crystal Fountain 1.5 units Win
    Value in a tough race.

    Ipswich
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    13:08 R1 9 Le Drama 2.5 units Win
    Should get a nice run on the fence.
    13:48 R2 8 Guanaba Girl 1.5 units Win
    13:48 R2 15 Joymaker 0.7 units Win
    Have the race fitness.
    14:18 R3 6 Melbern Queens 1.5 units Win
    Should get lovely sit in the race.
    14:53 R4 3 Mishani Phantom 3.0 units Win
    Has the race fitness.
    16:50 R7 2 Consular 0.3 units Win
    Value at a big price.

    Oakbank
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    15:40 R4 9 Texas Lil 1.0 units Win
    Should be flying home at a decent price.
    16:20 R5 1 Groove With Me 6.0 units Win
    Should lead with what looks a slow pace.
    17:40 R7 5 Huricane Sonny 5.0 units Win
    Should be flying home with a solid tempo.

    Ascot
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    16:34 R2 1 The Ninth Hour 3.0 units Win
    Should race well fresh.
    17:14 R3 9 Miss Frost 5.0 units Win
    Should be flying home at big odds.
    18:35 R5 10 Cup Night 6.0 units Win
    Should be flying home with the fast tempo.
    19:45 R7 1 King Louie 0.8 units Win
    Should get a lovely run from mid field.

    Launceston
    Time Race Number Name Stake Bet
    18:20 R1 6 Pincent Van Gogh 5.0 units Win

  25. #875
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    19:45 R7 1 King Louie 0.8 units Win
    Should get a lovely run from mid field.

    What the fuck does that even mean?
    I JUST DELETED YOUR ASS!!!

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